top of page

Blog

Dans ce blog, je publie régulièrement des textes sur des sujets d'actualité. J'en reprends certains en anglais.

Rechercher

The US intervention in Venezuela took experts and editorialists by surprise, once again revealing the media’s tendency toward Manichaeism when confronted with international crises. Between humanitarian justification and denunciation of a coup, positions clash reflexively. Yet this binary debate masks a far more complex reality. Rejecting simplifications does not mean excusing Maduro, nor absolving Trump. Above all, at a time when imperial logics are openly asserted, it is the role and responsibility of Europe that are directly called into question.


Source: Google Maps
Source: Google Maps

 

Donald Trump wrong-footed editorialists and television pundits in the days following New Year’s Eve. Just as fire safety specialists had replaced Brigitte Bardot’s biographers on TV panels, he ordered a show of force against the Venezuelan regime and had Nicolás Maduro and his wife placed in irons. This new episode makes it possible to cultivate the Manichaean vision of the world favoured by mass media. On Venezuela, as on Israel or Ukraine, positions are Pavlovian: few experts actually know the country or its domestic situation, yet two entrenched camps quickly emerge.

 

A Manichaean View of the Show of Force in Venezuela

 

On one side, mainly on the right of the political spectrum and among advocates of a realist approach to international relations, the American intervention is justified by reference to the humanitarian crisis. Venezuela is experiencing chronic shortages of food, medicines and basic services, and concrete solutions must be provided to a population that has suffered for too long from the damage caused by Chavismo. Supporters of a hard-line approach also argue that democracy must be restored: Nicolás Maduro failed to respect election results and has installed severe political repression and systematic human rights violations. The American intervention is also seen as a response to a regional migration crisis: the dictatorship has driven millions of Venezuelans into neighbouring countries, destabilising the entire region. The United States also accuses the country of serving as a platform for drug trafficking and corruption, and of allowing armed groups to flourish there; a local intervention was the only way to put an end to this. Finally, supporters of the American position argue that Venezuela destabilises the world order by selling off its oil at cut prices to authoritarian regimes (Russia, China, Iran).

 

In the other camp, the intervention is considered an unacceptable and unjustified violation of a state’s national sovereignty, carried out in the service of another country’s interests. The operation is in fact motivated solely by the country’s immense reserves of oil and minerals, and by the insatiable greed of American companies and consumers. It also carries a risk of military escalation: the conflict could degenerate into civil war or into an indirect confrontation with powers allied to Venezuela, increasing regional instability. Historical precedents are cited as evidence of failure: American interventions in Latin America (Cuba, Chile, Nicaragua, etc.) and elsewhere in the world (Iraq, Libya, etc.) have left lasting scars, failed to restore democracy and exacerbated tensions within the societies concerned. In the US Congress, critics highlight the human and financial cost of the operation. Finally, more moderate analysts argue that domestic and diplomatic solutions were neglected, and that American military intervention weakens local initiatives and multilateral diplomatic bodies (the UN, regional mediation).

 

Doing Justice to Complexity

 

What should we make of all this? First, we must accept that a situation can be complex. While conservative editorialists emphasise Americans’ right to defend their interests against dictatorship and crime, and Jean-Luc Mélenchon demands the return of Nicolás Maduro to power, reasonable observers must embrace nuance. Thus, one can say that the photograph below depicts a Jaguar E-Type; that it is a sports car; that it is British; and that it is green.

 

 

Source: ChatGPT
Source: ChatGPT

 

All four statements are equally valid, and there is no reason to quarrel over them. One can also argue – if one assumes the subjective nature of such a judgement – that this apple-green colour does not suit the car, because it is not an original colour, that “British racing green” would be more appropriate, and that this shade makes the car look like a courgette. But one could just as well think it suits the car, because it is original and modern, and because there are already far too many black or grey Jaguars. Similarly, one enthusiast will claim that the E-Type is a very pleasant car to drive, with top-class performance and excellent road holding, while another will say it is unreliable, with poor braking and an incoherent driving position. One can argue either way, or have no firm view at all.

 

Likewise, with regard to Venezuela, one can accept that the following statements are all true and not contradictory: Nicolás Maduro is a bloodthirsty dictator; Donald Trump is an authoritarian leader seeking to divert Americans’ attention from domestic difficulties and scandals by launching a war; Americans are not motivated by the human rights situation in Venezuela; Donald Trump has demanded the bombing of eight countries within a single year and does not even deserve his FIFA chocolate medal; and part of the Venezuelan population is pleased by Maduro’s fall, after he ruined a once-prosperous country and subjugated its people.

 

Nuance Is Not Cowardice

 

Choosing nuance and respecting complexity do not necessarily imply fatalism or cowardice. Since the launch of the American operation in Venezuela, commentators have once again been quick to declare political Europe dead – given the cautious reactions of its leaders in Brussels and national capitals, their divisions, and their inability to express a clear position beyond appeals to the law. But because Europe, unlike other regimes, respects democracy and pluralism, one cannot consider that the lukewarm views expressed by Ursula von der Leyen, Kaja Kallas or Emmanuel Macron commit Europe’s 450 million citizens. Other voices are being heard, and Donald Trump’s show of force is a fresh injunction for the European Union to mobilise in defence of the international order inherited from the Second World War.

 

In a world where imperial appetites are expressed without shame, the European Union must be the voice of reason, respect for law, and international institutions. Law is not an end in itself; it is an instrument serving a political vision of the world – one based on the sovereignty of peoples and harmony between them. A world in which the law of the strongest cannot prevail, whether it be a dictator oppressing his population or a country invading its neighbour.

 

This viewpoint is not easy to express today, as Europe appears isolated on the international stage. But this is yet another trap of media rhetoric: the fact that a position appears to become a minority does not make it any less just or legitimate, because this is not a matter of numbers but of facts and analysis. The day leading opinion leaders proclaim that the Earth is flat, it will not stop being round. Donald Trump reasons in terms of imperial spheres of influence and openly considers that the United States must impose regimes and ideologies in Latin America that conform to his vision and his country’s interests. But if Europe accepts this, how will it explain that he cannot annex Canada, the Panama Canal and Greenland? How can Russia be denied a return to Cold War borders? How can one oppose China’s right to make and unmake regimes in neighbouring countries – Taiwan, Vietnam, Korea?

 

The European Union Must Embrace and Promote Its Values

 

Today, the European Union must take the lead in defending the principles of international law, the sovereignty of peoples and states, and the primacy of international organisations in global affairs. To do so, it must speak with a strong and united voice – even at the risk of displeasing the White House or the Kremlin – and lead a broad coalition of countries committed to these principles: the United States’ historic allies (Canada, Japan, Australia, New Zealand, European countries outside the EU), but also countries of the Global South, which have nothing to gain from the imposition of imperial logics from which they will sooner or later suffer.

 

If the Union fails to do so, it will be condemned to fade away – along with its 27 Member States, too small to be anything other than vassals of the major blocs. Unlike the United States, Russia or China, the European Union was built on respect for law and the rejection of power politics and imperialism. European integration was intended precisely to put an end to conflicts between nations and to move beyond the excesses of colonisation. By its very nature, it stands at the opposite end of the imperialistic and violent world promoted by Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping, and by their opinion relays in Europe.

 

Olivier Costa

 

P.S. I take this opportunity to recall this op-ed, co-signed with European political leaders and fellow specialists on the European Union, published just before the American operation in Venezuela. It appeared simultaneously in Le Monde, El País, La Repubblica, Le Soir and other newspapers. We argue that continuing European integration is no longer a simple option guided by ideological considerations or a particular worldview: it is the only possible response by our countries to the growing hostility of other blocs.


 

L’intervention américaine au Venezuela a pris de court experts et éditorialistes, révélant une nouvelle fois la tentation du manichéisme médiatique face aux crises internationales. Entre justification humanitaire et dénonciation d’un coup de force, les positions s’affrontent de manière réflexe. Ce débat binaire masque pourtant une réalité plus complexe. Refuser les simplifications ne revient ni à excuser Maduro ni à absoudre Trump. Surtout, à l’heure des logiques impériales assumées, c’est le rôle et la responsabilité de l’Europe qui se trouvent directement interrogés.


Source: Google Maps
Source: Google Maps

 

Donald Trump a désarçonné les éditorialistes et les experts des plateaux télévisés au lendemain du réveillon. Alors que les spécialistes de sécurité incendie venaient de remplacer les biographes de Brigitte Bardot, il a donné l’ordre d’un coup de force contre le régime vénézuélien et fait mettre aux fers Nicolás Maduro et son épouse. Cette nouvelle séquence permet de cultiver la vision manichéenne du monde qu’affectionnent les médias de grande écoute. Sur le Venezuela comme sur Israël ou l’Ukraine, les positionnements des uns et des autres sont pavloviens : rares sont les experts à connaître le pays et sa situation intérieure, mais deux camps retranchés se dessinent.

 

Une vision manichéenne du coup de force au Venezuela

 

D’un côté, principalement à la droite de l’échiquier politique et parmi les tenants d’une approche réaliste des relations internationales, on justifie l’intervention américaine par référence à la crise humanitaire : le Venezuela connaît une pénurie chronique de nourriture, de médicaments et de services de base, et il faut apporter des solutions concrètes à une population qui souffre depuis trop longtemps des méfaits du chavisme. Les partisans de la méthode forte estiment aussi qu’il faut restaurer la démocratie : Nicolás Maduro n’a pas respecté les résultats des élections et a installé une répression politique sévère et des violations systématiques des droits humains. L’intervention américaine est aussi vue comme une réponse à une crise migratoire régionale : la dictature a poussé des millions de Vénézuéliens vers les pays voisins, déstabilisant toute la région. Les Etats-Unis accusent également le pays d’être une plateforme du narcotrafic et de la corruption, et d’y laisser prospérer les groupes armés : une intervention locale était le seul moyen d’y mettre un terme. Enfin, les tenants de la position américaine considèrent que le Venezuela déstabilise l’ordre mondial en bradant son pétrole à des régimes autoritaires (Russie, Chine, Iran).

 

Dans l’autre camp, on considère cette intervention comme une atteinte inacceptable et injustifiée à la souveraineté nationale d’un État, pour le service assumé des intérêts d’un autre. L’opération n’est, en fait, motivée que par les immenses réserves du pays en pétrole et en minerais, et par la gloutonnerie insatiable des entreprises et des consommateurs américains. Elle porte aussi en elle un risque d’escalade militaire : le conflit pourrait dégénérer en guerre civile ou en confrontation indirecte avec des puissances alliées du Venezuela, augmentant l’instabilité régionale. On fait valoir que les précédents historiques ont tous été des échecs, et que les interventions américaines en Amérique latine (Cuba, Chili, Nicaragua…) et ailleurs dans le monde (Irak, Libye…) ont laissé des séquelles durables, n’ont pas permis de restaurer la démocratie et ont exacerbé les tensions dans les sociétés concernées. Du côté du Congrès américain, on critique le coût humain et financier de l’opération. Enfin, les analystes les plus modérés font valoir que les solutions internes et diplomatiques ont été négligées, et que l’intervention armée américaine affaiblit les initiatives locales et les instances diplomatiques multilatérales (ONU, médiation régionale).

 

Faire droit à la complexité des choses

 

Que penser de tout cela ? D’abord, il convient d’accepter qu’une situation peut être complexe. Alors que les éditorialistes conservateurs soulignent le droit des Américains à défendre leurs intérêts contre la dictature et le crime, et que Jean-Luc Mélenchon exige le retour au pouvoir de Nicolás Maduro, les observateurs raisonnables doivent assumer les nuances. Ainsi, on peut dire que la photographie ci-dessous représente une Jaguar Type E ; que c’est une voiture de sport ; qu’elle est anglaise ; et qu’elle est verte.

 

 

Source: ChatGPT
Source: ChatGPT

 

Les quatre propositions sont également valides, et il n’y pas lieu de s’écharper à ce propos. On peut aussi considérer, si l’on argumente un peu et si l’on assume le côté subjectif de ce jugement, que ce vert-pomme ne convient pas à la voiture, parce que ce n’est pas une couleur d’origine, que le « British racing green » est plus approprié, et que cette couleur-là fait ressembler la voiture à une courgette. Mais on peut tout aussi bien estimer qu’il lui sied, car il est original et moderne, et qu’il y en a assez de toutes ces Jaguar noires ou grises. De même, tel amateur affirmera que la Type E une voiture très plaisante à conduire, qui présente des performances de premier ordre et un comportement routier très sain, et tel autre que c’est une bête à chagrin, qui freine mal et offre une position de conduite incohérente. On peut argumenter dans un sens ou dans l’autre, ou ne pas avoir de point de vue tranché.

 

De même, on peut accepter, au sujet du Venezuela, que les propositions suivantes sont toutes vraies et ne sont pas contradictoires entre elles : Nicolás Maduro est un dictateur sanguinaire ; Donald Trump est un leader autoritaire qui tente de détourner l’attention des citoyens américains des difficultés intérieures et des scandales en déclenchant une guerre ; les Américains ne sont pas motivés par la situation des droits de l’homme au Venezuela ; Donald Trump a exigé le bombardement de 8 pays en l’espace d’un an, et ne mérite même pas sa médaille en chocolat de la FIFA ; une partie de la population vénézuélienne se réjouit de la chute de Maduro, qui a ruiné un pays prospère et asservi son peuple.

 

La nuance n’est pas la lâcheté

 

Le choix de la nuance et le respect de la complexité des choses n’impliquent pas nécessairement le fatalisme et la lâcheté. Depuis le déclenchement de l’opération américaine au Venezuela, les commentaires vont bon train pour déclarer, une fois de plus, l’Europe politique morte – compte tenu de la prudence des réactions de ses leaders, à Bruxelles ou dans les capitales, de leurs divisions et de leur incapacité à exprimer une position claire, au-delà de l’appel au droit. Mais, parce que l’Europe, à la différence d’autres régimes, respecte la démocratie et le pluralisme, on ne saurait considérer que les points de vue exprimés mollement par Ursula von der Leyen, Kaja Kallas ou Emmanuel Macron engagent les 450 millions de citoyens européens. D’autres avis se font entendre et le coup de force de Donald Trump est une nouvelle injonction à une mobilisation de l’Union européenne en faveur de l’ordre international hérité de la Seconde guerre mondiale.

 

Dans un monde où les appétits des empires s’expriment sans vergogne, l’Union européenne doit être la voix de la raison, du respect du droit et des institutions internationales. Le droit n’est pas une fin en soi : c’est un instrument au service d’une vision politique du monde, celle de la souveraineté des peuples et de la concorde entre eux. Un monde dans lequel la loi du plus fort ne peut pas régner – qu’il s’agisse d’un dictateur qui brime sa population ou d’un pays qui envahit son voisin.

 

Ce point de vue n’est pas facile à exprimer aujourd’hui, tant l’Europe semble isolée sur la scène internationale. Mais c’est là un autre piège de la rhétorique médiatique : ce n’est pas parce qu’une position devient apparemment minoritaire qu’elle cesse d’être juste et légitime, car ce n’est pas une question de nombre mais de faits et d’analyses. Le jour où les principaux leaders d’opinion affirmeront que la Terre est plate, elle ne va pas cesser d’être ronde. Donald Trump raisonne en termes de sphère d’influence impériale et considère, sans s’en cacher, que les Etats-Unis doivent imposer en Amérique latine des régimes et une idéologie conformes à sa vision et aux intérêts de son pays. Mais, si l’Europe accepte cela, comment va-t-elle lui expliquer qu’il ne peut pas annexer le Canada, le canal de Panama et le Groenland ? Comment refuser à la Russie le retour aux frontières de la Guerre froide ? Comment s’opposer à ce que la Chine fasse et défasse les régimes dans les pays voisins – Taïwan, Vietnam, Corée ?

 

L’Union européenne doit assumer et promouvoir ses valeurs

 

L’Union européenne doit aujourd’hui prendre le leadership dans la défense des principes du droit international, de la souveraineté des peuples et des États, et du primat des organisations internationales dans la marche du monde. Pour cela, elle doit parler d’une voix forte et unie – quitte à déplaire à la Maison Blanche ou au Kremlin – et prendre la tête d’une vaste coalition de pays attachés à cela : les alliés historiques des Etats-Unis (Canada, Japon, Australie, Nouvelle-Zélande, pays européens non-membres de l’Union…), mais aussi les pays du Sud Global, qui n’ont rien à gagner à ce que s’impose une logique d’empires dont ils feront tôt ou tard les frais.

 

Si l’Union ne le fait pas, elle sera contrainte à l’effacement – et avec elle ses 27 États membres, trop petits pour être autre chose que des vassaux des grands blocs. Car, à la différence des Etats-Unis, de la Russie ou de la Chine, l’Union européenne s’est inventée dans le respect du droit et le refus des rapports de force et de l’impérialisme. La construction européenne avait, précisément, pour but d’en finir avec les conflits entre les nations et de faire oublier les outrances de la colonisation. Par essence, elle est aux antipodes du monde impérialiste et violent que nous proposent Donald Trump, Vladimir Poutine et Xi Jinping, et leurs relais d’opinion en Europe.

 

Olivier Costa

 

 

P.S. J’en profite pour rappeler cette tribune, signée aux côtés de responsables politiques européens et de collègues spécialistes de l’Union européenne, juste avant l’opération américaine au Venezuela. Elle a été publiée simultanément par Le Monde, El Pais, La Repubblica, Le Soir et d’autres quotidiens. Nous y faisons valoir que la poursuite de l’intégration européenne n’est plus une simple option, guidée par des considérations idéologiques ou une certaine vision du monde : c’est la seule réponse possible de nos pays à l’hostilité croissante des autres blocs.

On 12 October 2025, I participated online to a forum titled: « Political Parties Driven: The Global South and Enabling Governance ».

The event was jointly organized by Wenhui Daily of the Shanghai United Media Group, the Center for Party Building and Social Development Studies at Shanghai University, and the university’s School of Marxism.

It forms part of the "Wenhui Forum" series aimed at fostering cross-civilizational dialogue and advancing comparative research on governance in the Global South.


This is the report established by the organizing committee, that includes some of my contributions to the discussion.

 



Southern Wisdom and Western Challenges in Global Party Governance


Sciences Po Professor Olivier Costa Joins China’s Wenhui Daily Forum Online

 

As the global political landscape undergoes rapid transformation and party systems across nations experience profound shifts, on October 12, Professor Olivier Costa of the CEVIPOF (Centre for Political Research) at Sciences Po, Paris, was recently invited to join the Wenhui Daily’s "Wenhui Forum" for an online roundtable dialogue.

 

Professor Costa exchanged views with several Chinese scholars on the theme of "Party-Driven Development and Empowerment-Based Governance", and engaged in lively interaction with both in-person and online audiences. The discussion featured sharp exchanges and rich intellectual collisions, revealing both shared understandings and divergent perspectives between Chinese and foreign scholars in the study of political parties.

 

Party-Driven Modernization: Convergence and Divergence Between the Global South and the West

 

The first session focused on the role of party leadership in national modernization.

 

Chinese scholars emphasized that political parties are the nerve center of a nation’s political life, determining its direction in domestic governance, diplomacy, and socio-economic development. While party politics has become a global phenomenon, its concrete forms vary widely—from the multi-party complexity of Southeast Asia to the shifting dynamics in Africa, the Middle East, and Latin America.

 

Professor Costa argued that comparing party systems in the Global South and the West helps reveal both universal functions and structural challenges. Despite differences in institutions, electoral systems, and media relations, he noted that parties everywhere perform similar roles: organizing elections, integrating interests, selecting elites, and overseeing governance.

 

"Across Europe, Africa, and Latin America, we are witnessing a trend toward leader-centered politics," Costa observed. "Media exposure and social platforms have intensified the personalization of power."

He added that while parties in the Global South often remain engines of socio-economic transformation, those in the West are increasingly fragmented and weakened.

"In France, there are 11 groups in parliament that can hardly reach consensus on any issue. Likewise, the eight groups in the European Parliament are deeply divided. In France, the loss of social consensus has made normal party politics nearly impossible."

 

Chinese scholars responded that the effectiveness of party-driven governance depends on institutional stability and a strong sense of mission. They argued that China’s long-term governing capacity, under the Communist Party of China (CPC), enables policy continuity and sustained modernization, whereas Western party rotation often leads to policy reversals and social fragmentation.

 

Despite different perspectives, both sides agreed that political parties remain the decisive variable in achieving modernization.

 

Empowerment-Based Governance: A Consensus on Mission-Oriented and Developmental Parties

 

The second discussion turned to the concept of empowerment-based governance.

 

Chinese scholars suggested that 21st-century governance should evolve "from empowerment to enablement." Empowerment, they argued, is not merely about granting formal rights, but about cultivating substantive capacities—political parties should empower society through ideals, organization, and institutional design.

 

Professor Costa emphasized that the ability of parties to "empower" society hinges on their capacity to integrate diverse social interests and transform them into coherent public policies.

"In countries such as South Africa, India, Brazil, and Indonesia, political parties have indeed facilitated modernization through electoral and policy mechanisms," he said. "Yet in others, excessive personalization and patronage politics have undermined policy continuity."

He highlighted that in relatively advanced southern countries such as China, parties have significantly enhanced policy coordination and efficiency—an experience that merits further study.

 

Chinese scholars added that in China’s practice, empowerment reflects the two-way interaction between the Party, government, market, and society. Through shared ideals, strong organization, and institutional synergy, China has built a model of "strong government and strong market," forming a virtuous cycle where empowered citizens and markets, in turn, strengthen governance capacity.

 

Both sides ultimately agreed that development remains the greatest common denominator of empowerment-based governance. As Costa put it, development is the key domain in which Global South parties can build consensus and cooperation.

 

Mutual Learning Among Parties: New Directions in South–South Cooperation

 

When discussing whether parties in the Global South could achieve mutual learning through dialogue, Costa noted that political parties are playing an increasingly important role in international relations. Over the past decade, he observed three major trends:

 

-       Party diplomacy has become more active, with the CPC, South Africa’s ANC, Brazil’s Workers’ Party, and India’s BJP developing extensive transnational ties.

 

-       Regional party networks have expanded, such as the Socialist International and Centrist Democrat International, which are vibrant across Latin America, Africa, and Asia.

 

-       South–South cooperation has deepened, with left-leaning parties sharing narratives around anti-colonialism, distributive justice, and social equity.

 

He stressed that inter-party cooperation is not merely political exchange but also a manifestation of soft power. Parties can learn from one another in digital communication, participatory democracy, and policy innovation. "Each party should establish an international cooperation department and seek observer status in major multilateral organizations to contribute to a more multipolar world," he said.

 

Chinese scholars responded that the CPC has consistently promoted equal and respectful party-to-party diplomacy. By the end of 2024, the CPC maintained regular ties with over 700 political parties and organizations across more than 170 countries. Inter-party learning has become practical action rather than academic theory—from the China–CELAC Party Forum and BRICS Party Dialogue to the Shanghai Cooperation Organization exchanges. Notably, Xi Jinping’s book Up and Out of Poverty has become required reading in political training sessions across Africa and Latin America—an example of tangible, shared learning.

 

Audience Interaction: From Europe’s Crisis to New Global South Agendas

 

In the Q&A session, a PhD student from Fudan University asked whether Europe could once again achieve "empowerment-based governance" through its party system. Costa replied candidly that while European integration was born from party cooperation, it is now endangered by party fragmentation. "The rise of far-right populism has deeply shaken European unity. The collapse of consensus threatens the very survival of European integration," he warned.

 

Another participant asked about emerging themes in Global South cooperation. Chinese scholars pointed to several high-priority issues: poverty reduction, climate change, AI-enabled development, and cultural diversity. The Global South, they said, is "grounded in pragmatic development yet aspiring to a shared future for humanity."

On reconciling technological rationality with governance values, both sides agreed that technology must serve human welfare: "AI should empower people, not replace them."

 

Parties and Modernization: Lessons from Comparison

 

The dialogue reached its most dynamic moment when discussing why the CPC demonstrates stronger mobilization capacity. Chinese scholars explained that China’s political system—anchored in long-term party leadership and strategic planning—enables sustained policy execution. In contrast, frequent electoral turnover in the West leads to inconsistency. As one scholar noted, a well-known observation once remarked that "China can plan for the next generation, while the United States can only plan for the next election."

 

Costa concurred that China’s high level of political organization and policy coherence indeed illustrates "effective governance" and offers meaningful insights for developing nations. "While each country’s context differs," he concluded, "our shared question is how parties can truly become empowering actors within governance."

bottom of page